# The welfare bill: where it is forecast to go, and why url: https://whereyourmoneygoes.co.uk/welfare-spending-forecast/ updated: 29 September 2026 licence: Our words, analysis, charts and derived calculations: CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), credit [Tekstak Ltd](https://tek-stak.co.uk). Figures: each source's own licence, listed under Sources. publisher: [Tekstak Ltd](https://tek-stak.co.uk) # The welfare bill: where it is forecast to go, and why Last updated 29 September 2026. Figures refresh every night. [How each figure is worked out](/methodology/). The Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts UK welfare spending of **£406.9bn** in 2030-31, up from £314.8bn in 2024-25, or 11.2% of GDP against 10.7%. The State Pension is the largest part (£180.7bn); health and disability benefits are forecast to reach £109.8bn. These are forecasts from the OBR’s March 2026 edition, published 3 March 2026; they change with each new forecast. Figure as of 3 March 2026. Source: [Office for Budget Responsibility](https://obr.uk/download/march-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-charts-and-tables-chapter-4/). ## Key figures - £406.9bnWelfare spending, 2030-31 (forecast) OBR, March 2026 As of 3 March 2026 - 11.2%Of GDP, 2030-31 (forecast) As of 3 March 2026 - £180.7bnState Pension, 2030-31 (forecast) As of 3 March 2026 - £109.8bnHealth and disability benefits, 2030-31 (forecast) As of 3 March 2026 - £373.4bn to £389.9bnForecasts for 2029-30 across the last 4 OBR editions Source: [Office for Budget Responsibility](https://obr.uk/download/march-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/). ## What is the short version? - **Forecasts, not facts:** every figure after the first year or two is the OBR’s forecast from its March 2026 edition, and each edition moves it. - **Most of the money goes to pensioners:** the State Pension and other pensioner benefits are the largest part, and are outside the welfare cap. - **Health and disability benefits are the fastest-growing part** of working-age spending in the OBR’s forecast. - **Views differ** on whether the rise is a problem and what to do about it; named voices on each side are below. ## The forecast, by group Forecast: Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2026, published 3 March 2026 **Welfare spending by group, £ billion (OBR, March 2026)** Figures from 2025-26 are forecasts. Pensioner spending includes the State Pension, Pension Credit and pensioners’ disability and housing benefits. **The numbers behind this chart** | Year | Pensioner spending | UC and legacy equivalents | Disability benefits | Child benefit | Other spending | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024-25Details | £151.0bn | £89.2bn | £41.4bn | £13.3bn | £19.8bn | | UC and legacy equivalents£89.2bnDisability benefits£41.4bnChild benefit£13.3bnOther spending£19.8bn | | | | | | | 2025-26Details | £161.2bn | £91.9bn | £45.4bn | £13.4bn | £21.0bn | | UC and legacy equivalents£91.9bnDisability benefits£45.4bnChild benefit£13.4bnOther spending£21.0bn | | | | | | | 2026-27Details | £169.2bn | £97.8bn | £50.2bn | £13.7bn | £21.8bn | | UC and legacy equivalents£97.8bnDisability benefits£50.2bnChild benefit£13.7bnOther spending£21.8bn | | | | | | | 2027-28Details | £173.9bn | £98.9bn | £53.8bn | £13.8bn | £22.7bn | | UC and legacy equivalents£98.9bnDisability benefits£53.8bnChild benefit£13.8bnOther spending£22.7bn | | | | | | | 2028-29Details | £178.9bn | £100.3bn | £57.3bn | £13.9bn | £23.4bn | | UC and legacy equivalents£100.3bnDisability benefits£57.3bnChild benefit£13.9bnOther spending£23.4bn | | | | | | | 2029-30Details | £187.5bn | £103.1bn | £61.1bn | £13.9bn | £24.3bn | | UC and legacy equivalents£103.1bnDisability benefits£61.1bnChild benefit£13.9bnOther spending£24.3bn | | | | | | | 2030-31Details | £196.2bn | £106.2bn | £65.5bn | £14.0bn | £25.2bn | | UC and legacy equivalents£106.2bnDisability benefits£65.5bnChild benefit£14.0bnOther spending£25.2bn | | | | | | Figure as of 3 March 2026. Source: [Office for Budget Responsibility](https://obr.uk/download/march-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-charts-and-tables-chapter-4/). | Benefit | 2024-25 | 2030-31 | Inside the welfare cap? | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | State pensionDetails | £138.0bn | £180.7bn | No | | 2030-31£180.7bnInside the welfare cap?No | | | | | Universal creditDetails | £52.8bn | £81.5bn | Yes | | 2030-31£81.5bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | Disability living allowance and personal independence paymentsDetails | £33.7bn | £54.4bn | Yes | | 2030-31£54.4bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | Child benefitDetails | £13.3bn | £14.0bn | Yes | | 2030-31£14.0bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | Universal creditDetails | £13.5bn | £13.4bn | No | | 2030-31£13.4bnInside the welfare cap?No | | | | | Housing benefit (not on JSA)Details | £14.6bn | £13.4bn | Yes | | 2030-31£13.4bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | Attendance allowanceDetails | £7.8bn | £11.1bn | Yes | | 2030-31£11.1bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | NI social security in welfare capDetails | £5.7bn | £7.1bn | Yes | | 2030-31£7.1bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | Carer's allowanceDetails | £4.2bn | £6.3bn | Yes | | 2030-31£6.3bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | Pension creditDetails | £6.0bn | £5.8bn | Yes | | 2030-31£5.8bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | NI social security outside welfare capDetails | £4.0bn | £5.5bn | No | | 2030-31£5.5bnInside the welfare cap?No | | | | | Incapacity benefitsDetails | £12.4bn | £5.2bn | Yes | | 2030-31£5.2bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | Statutory maternity payDetails | £3.1bn | £3.7bn | Yes | | 2030-31£3.7bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | Winter fuel paymentDetails | £0.3bn | £2.0bn | Yes | | 2030-31£2.0bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | | Other DWP in welfare capDetails | £2.0bn | £1.9bn | Yes | | 2030-31£1.9bnInside the welfare cap?Yes | | | | Source: Office for Budget Responsibility, [Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2026: detailed forecast tables, expenditure](https://obr.uk/download/march-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/), published 3 March 2026. ## How the forecast has moved The OBR forecasts welfare spending twice a year. Each new edition takes in new data, new policy and new assumptions, so the path moves. The chart shows every edition since October 2024; the older ones are labelled superseded. **Total welfare spending, each OBR forecast since October 2024, £ billion** Each line is a separate OBR forecast; only the newest is current. The spread between them shows how much the forecast has moved, not a statistical range. **The numbers behind this chart** | Year | March 2026 (latest) | November 2025 (superseded) | March 2025 (superseded) | October 2024 (superseded) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2023-24Details | — | — | £296.4bn | £296.3bn | | November 2025 (superseded)—March 2025 (superseded)£296.4bnOctober 2024 (superseded)£296.3bn | | | | | | 2024-25Details | £314.8bn | £314.7bn | £313.0bn | £313.6bn | | November 2025 (superseded)£314.7bnMarch 2025 (superseded)£313.0bnOctober 2024 (superseded)£313.6bn | | | | | | 2025-26Details | £332.9bn | £333.0bn | £326.1bn | £327.5bn | | November 2025 (superseded)£333.0bnMarch 2025 (superseded)£326.1bnOctober 2024 (superseded)£327.5bn | | | | | | 2026-27Details | £352.8bn | £351.9bn | £342.1bn | £340.5bn | | November 2025 (superseded)£351.9bnMarch 2025 (superseded)£342.1bnOctober 2024 (superseded)£340.5bn | | | | | | 2027-28Details | £363.1bn | £362.1bn | £348.8bn | £349.5bn | | November 2025 (superseded)£362.1bnMarch 2025 (superseded)£348.8bnOctober 2024 (superseded)£349.5bn | | | | | | 2028-29Details | £373.8bn | £372.9bn | £358.5bn | £361.4bn | | November 2025 (superseded)£372.9bnMarch 2025 (superseded)£358.5bnOctober 2024 (superseded)£361.4bn | | | | | | 2029-30Details | £389.9bn | £389.4bn | £373.4bn | £377.7bn | | November 2025 (superseded)£389.4bnMarch 2025 (superseded)£373.4bnOctober 2024 (superseded)£377.7bn | | | | | | 2030-31Details | £406.9bn | £406.2bn | — | — | | November 2025 (superseded)£406.2bnMarch 2025 (superseded)—October 2024 (superseded)— | | | | | Figure as of 3 March 2026. Source: [Office for Budget Responsibility](https://obr.uk/download/march-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/), [Office for Budget Responsibility](https://obr.uk/download/november-2025-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/), [Office for Budget Responsibility](https://obr.uk/download/march-2025-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/), [Office for Budget Responsibility](https://obr.uk/download/october-2024-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/). ## What drives it ### Ageing and the triple lock More people over State Pension age, and a pension that rises each year by the highest of inflation, earnings growth or 2.5%, push pensioner spending up. The OBR’s long-term projections show how much the uprating rule matters over fifty years. **State Pension spending under three ways of raising it, % of GDP (OBR long-term projections)** Projections from Fiscal risks and sustainability, July 2026: what happens if each rule is kept for fifty years, on the OBR’s assumptions. They are scenarios, not forecasts. **The numbers behind this chart** Search | Year | Baseline projection, triple lock uprating | CPI uprating | Average earnings uprating | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-26Details | — | — | — | | CPI uprating—Average earnings uprating— | | | | | 2026-27Details | — | — | — | | CPI uprating—Average earnings uprating— | | | | | 2027-28Details | — | — | — | | CPI uprating—Average earnings uprating— | | | | | 2028-29Details | — | — | — | | CPI uprating—Average earnings uprating— | | | | | 2029-30Details | — | — | — | | CPI uprating—Average earnings uprating— | | | | | 2030-31Details | 4.98% | 4.98% | 4.98% | | CPI uprating4.98%Average earnings uprating4.98% | | | | | 2031-32Details | 5.04% | 4.99% | 5.03% | | CPI uprating4.99%Average earnings uprating5.03% | | | | | 2032-33Details | 5.13% | 5.01% | 5.10% | | CPI uprating5.01%Average earnings uprating5.10% | | | | | 2033-34Details | 5.23% | 5.01% | 5.17% | | CPI uprating5.01%Average earnings uprating5.17% | | | | | 2034-35Details | 5.33% | 5.01% | 5.25% | | CPI uprating5.01%Average earnings uprating5.25% | | | | | 2035-36Details | 5.43% | 5.00% | 5.31% | | CPI uprating5.00%Average earnings uprating5.31% | | | | | 2036-37Details | 5.51% | 4.97% | 5.36% | | CPI uprating4.97%Average earnings uprating5.36% | | | | | 2037-38Details | 5.50% | 4.86% | 5.33% | | CPI uprating4.86%Average earnings uprating5.33% | | | | | 2038-39Details | 5.43% | 4.70% | 5.23% | | CPI uprating4.70%Average earnings uprating5.23% | | | | | 2039-40Details | 5.44% | 4.60% | 5.21% | | CPI uprating4.60%Average earnings uprating5.21% | | | | | 2040-41Details | 5.51% | 4.56% | 5.25% | | CPI uprating4.56%Average earnings uprating5.25% | | | | | 2041-42Details | 5.58% | 4.52% | 5.28% | | CPI uprating4.52%Average earnings uprating5.28% | | | | | 2042-43Details | 5.63% | 4.46% | 5.31% | | CPI uprating4.46%Average earnings uprating5.31% | | | | | 2043-44Details | 5.69% | 4.40% | 5.33% | | CPI uprating4.40%Average earnings uprating5.33% | | | | | 2044-45Details | 5.74% | 4.34% | 5.35% | | CPI uprating4.34%Average earnings uprating5.35% | | | | | 2045-46Details | 5.78% | 4.28% | 5.36% | | CPI uprating4.28%Average earnings uprating5.36% | | | | | 2046-47Details | 5.83% | 4.22% | 5.38% | | CPI uprating4.22%Average earnings uprating5.38% | | | | | 2047-48Details | 5.91% | 4.18% | 5.42% | | CPI uprating4.18%Average earnings uprating5.42% | | | | | 2048-49Details | 6.00% | 4.15% | 5.47% | | CPI uprating4.15%Average earnings uprating5.47% | | | | | 2049-50Details | 6.09% | 4.12% | 5.52% | | CPI uprating4.12%Average earnings uprating5.52% | | | | | 2050-51Details | 6.17% | 4.08% | 5.57% | | CPI uprating4.08%Average earnings uprating5.57% | | | | | 2051-52Details | 6.26% | 4.05% | 5.62% | | CPI uprating4.05%Average earnings uprating5.62% | | | | | 2052-53Details | 6.36% | 4.02% | 5.68% | | CPI uprating4.02%Average earnings uprating5.68% | | | | | 2053-54Details | 6.46% | 3.99% | 5.74% | | CPI uprating3.99%Average earnings uprating5.74% | | | | | 2054-55Details | 6.56% | 3.97% | 5.80% | | CPI uprating3.97%Average earnings uprating5.80% | | | | | 2055-56Details | 6.67% | 3.94% | 5.86% | | CPI uprating3.94%Average earnings uprating5.86% | | | | | 2056-57Details | 6.78% | 3.92% | 5.93% | | CPI uprating3.92%Average earnings uprating5.93% | | | | | 2057-58Details | 6.90% | 3.90% | 6.00% | | CPI uprating3.90%Average earnings uprating6.00% | | | | | 2058-59Details | 7.02% | 3.88% | 6.07% | | CPI uprating3.88%Average earnings uprating6.07% | | | | | 2059-60Details | 7.14% | 3.86% | 6.14% | | CPI uprating3.86%Average earnings uprating6.14% | | | | | 2060-61Details | 7.26% | 3.84% | 6.21% | | CPI uprating3.84%Average earnings uprating6.21% | | | | | 2061-62Details | 7.38% | 3.82% | 6.28% | | CPI uprating3.82%Average earnings uprating6.28% | | | | | 2062-63Details | 7.50% | 3.79% | 6.35% | | CPI uprating3.79%Average earnings uprating6.35% | | | | | 2063-64Details | 7.62% | 3.77% | 6.42% | | CPI uprating3.77%Average earnings uprating6.42% | | | | | 2064-65Details | 7.74% | 3.74% | 6.48% | | CPI uprating3.74%Average earnings uprating6.48% | | | | | 2065-66Details | 7.87% | 3.72% | 6.56% | | CPI uprating3.72%Average earnings uprating6.56% | | | | | 2066-67Details | 8.00% | 3.70% | 6.63% | | CPI uprating3.70%Average earnings uprating6.63% | | | | | 2067-68Details | 8.13% | 3.67% | 6.70% | | CPI uprating3.67%Average earnings uprating6.70% | | | | | 2068-69Details | 8.24% | 3.64% | 6.75% | | CPI uprating3.64%Average earnings uprating6.75% | | | | | 2069-70Details | 8.34% | 3.61% | 6.80% | | CPI uprating3.61%Average earnings uprating6.80% | | | | | 2070-71Details | 8.44% | 3.57% | 6.85% | | CPI uprating3.57%Average earnings uprating6.85% | | | | | 2071-72Details | 8.55% | 3.53% | 6.90% | | CPI uprating3.53%Average earnings uprating6.90% | | | | | 2072-73Details | 8.66% | 3.50% | 6.95% | | CPI uprating3.50%Average earnings uprating6.95% | | | | | 2073-74Details | 8.67% | 3.42% | 6.92% | | CPI uprating3.42%Average earnings uprating6.92% | | | | | 2074-75Details | 8.59% | 3.32% | 6.82% | | CPI uprating3.32%Average earnings uprating6.82% | | | | | 2075-76Details | 8.61% | 3.25% | 6.79% | | CPI uprating3.25%Average earnings uprating6.79% | | | | ### Health and disability Spending on health and disability benefits (Personal Independence Payment, the Universal Credit health element, Employment and Support Allowance and others) is forecast to rise faster than the rest of working-age welfare. The OBR puts the number of people receiving incapacity benefits (UC health element and ESA) at 3.4 million in 2024-25, forecast to reach 4 million; The OBR puts the number of people receiving disability benefits (PIP, DLA and Attendance Allowance) at 6.5 million in 2024-25, forecast to reach 8.8 million. **Disability benefit spending by age, £ billion (OBR, March 2026)** **The numbers behind this chart** | Year | Children | Working-age | Pensioner | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024-25Details | £4.5bn | £22.8bn | £14.2bn | | Working-age£22.8bnPensioner£14.2bn | | | | | 2025-26Details | £5.3bn | £24.7bn | £15.3bn | | Working-age£24.7bnPensioner£15.3bn | | | | | 2026-27Details | £6.1bn | £27.8bn | £16.3bn | | Working-age£27.8bnPensioner£16.3bn | | | | | 2027-28Details | £6.7bn | £30.4bn | £16.7bn | | Working-age£30.4bnPensioner£16.7bn | | | | | 2028-29Details | £7.2bn | £32.7bn | £17.4bn | | Working-age£32.7bnPensioner£17.4bn | | | | | 2029-30Details | £7.8bn | £34.9bn | £18.5bn | | Working-age£34.9bnPensioner£18.5bn | | | | | 2030-31Details | £8.3bn | £37.2bn | £20.0bn | | Working-age£37.2bnPensioner£20.0bn | | | | Figure as of 3 March 2026. Source: [Office for Budget Responsibility](https://obr.uk/download/march-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/). Caseloads are quoted from the text of the OBR’s Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2026; the current edition. ### Housing costs Help with rent comes through Housing Benefit and the housing element of Universal Credit. See [what housing support costs and who receives it](/what-council-tax-pays-for/#where-rent-comes-from). ## The welfare cap The welfare cap limits most working-age and disability spending; the State Pension and the part of Universal Credit linked to unemployment are outside it. The OBR checks the forecast against the cap at its annual assessment of the fiscal rules. | Forecast | Spending in the cap | Margin | | --- | --- | --- | | March 2025 forecastDetails | £190.7bn | £13.5bn | | Margin£13.5bn | | | | November 2025 forecastDetails | £202.3bn | £1.9bn | | Margin£1.9bn | | | ## Announced reforms and claimed savings Reforms and what was claimed for them - [Universal Credit Act 2025](https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/689ca49e1c63de6de5bb1298/withdrawn-universal-credit-bill-uc-rebalancing-impact-assessment.pdf) Date3 Sept 2025 What was claimed **DWP's impact assessment puts the health element changes at a saving of £2,060 million in 2029-30 and the higher standard allowance at a cost of £1,850 million that year.** **Details** Where it standsIn force from April 2026.Independent assessments**Office for Budget Responsibility:** The OBR's forecast includes the Act; Table 4.2 of Budget 2025 re-costs it at the time of that Budget. ([source](https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2026/)) - [Personal Independence Payment eligibility changes (not proceeding)](https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/the-timms-review) Date26 Nov 2025 What was claimed **The Spring Statement 2025 changes to PIP eligibility would have reduced spending by about £5.3 billion a year by 2030-31; at Budget 2025 the government confirmed they would not go ahead.** **Details** Where it standsWithdrawn. A review of PIP (the Timms review) published an interim report on 9 July 2026 and is due to make final recommendations in autumn 2026.Independent assessments**HM Treasury, Budget 2025 Table 4.1 line 83:** Not proceeding costs £5,345 million in 2030-31 against the earlier plans. ([source](https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/supporting-documents-for-budget-2025)) Changes still to start, including Universal Credit rates, are in [every announced tax and benefit change](/announced-tax-and-benefit-changes/). ## What independent analysts and politicians say ### Is the growth in welfare spending sustainable? ### Those who say spending growth needs to be brought down - I am not squeamish about saying that the plan would be to reduce the welfare bill. Andy Burnham, Prime Minister, HM Government ([15 June 2026](https://benefitsandwork.co.uk/news/burnham-not-squeamish-about-reducing-welfare-bill)) From an interview with The Times, as quoted by Benefits and Work. - Our constituents who need and rely on PIP should, and will, see their awards protected, but the system as a whole is not sustainable. Nigel Farage and Robert Jenrick, Reform UK ([16 August 2026](https://www.reformparty.uk/making-welfare-work-document.pdf)) - With millions of working-age people economically inactive and the cost of sickness and disability benefits continuing to soar, doing nothing is no longer an option. Lord Hannan, Director-General, Institute of Economic Affairs ([17 August 2026](https://iea.org.uk/media/iea-responds-to-reform-uks-welfare-proposals/)) - We already spend more on health related benefits than the entire defence budget. Joe Shalam, Policy Director, Centre for Social Justice ([7 March 2026](https://www.centreforsocialjustice.org.uk/newsroom/18bn-welfare-surge)) - The system is unsustainable and this threatens all the good it was designed to do. Kemi Badenoch, Leader of the Opposition, Conservative Party ([10 July 2025](https://www.kemibadenoch.org.uk/news/kemi-badenochs-speech-welfare-spending-centre-social-justice)) ### Those who say the rise reflects pensions and health, or that cuts would cause hardship - First, £21 billion of it comes from spending on pensioners, mostly because of the triple lock on the State Pension and the growing pensioner population. Alex Clegg, Resolution Foundation ([25 November 2025](https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/comment/is-welfare-spending-out-of-control/)) - Evidence from recent benefit cuts show they had little or no employment impacts, but worsened hardship and health, damaging future employment prospects and shifting costs elsewhere. Iain Porter and Sam Tims, Joseph Rowntree Foundation ([20 July 2026](https://www.jrf.org.uk/social-security/how-to-reduce-pressure-on-welfare-spend-in-a-popular-and-lasting-way)) - At a time when society continues to be extremely inaccessible to us in terms of transport, housing, information and environment, and when public services are letting us down, PIP is an absolute lifeline. Disability Rights UK ([17 August 2026](https://www.disabilityrightsuk.org/news/disability-rights-uk-statement-reforms-attack-disabled-people)) - Disability benefit cuts would only make life harder for these and many more families, undermining the government’s forthcoming child poverty strategy. Alison Garnham, Chief Executive, Child Poverty Action Group ([13 March 2025](https://cpag.org.uk/news/cuts-disability-benefits-would-undermine-government-plans-tackle-child-poverty-warns-charity)) Views are attributed to the people and organisations named, with the date and a link to where they said it. This site takes no side. ## What these figures do and don't show - Forecasts are the OBR’s central forecasts, in cash terms. They are not targets and they move with every edition. - The range across editions shows how much the forecast has changed, not the chance of any outcome. - Long-term projections assume today’s policy continues for fifty years; they show pressures, not predictions. - Figures are for the UK. The OBR forecasts spending, not the number of people who will claim; caseloads are quoted from its text. ## Sources for this page | Source | Publisher | Figures as of | Updated | Licence | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2026: charts and tables, chapter 4](https://obr.uk/download/march-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-charts-and-tables-chapter-4/) | Office for Budget Responsibility | 3 March 2026 | annual | [Open Government Licence v3.0](https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/) | | [Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2026: detailed forecast tables, expenditure](https://obr.uk/download/march-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/) | Office for Budget Responsibility | 3 March 2026 | annual | [Open Government Licence v3.0](https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/) | | [Economic and fiscal outlook, November 2025: detailed forecast tables, expenditure](https://obr.uk/download/november-2025-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/) | Office for Budget Responsibility | 26 November 2025 | annual | [Open Government Licence v3.0](https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/) | | [Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2025: detailed forecast tables, expenditure](https://obr.uk/download/march-2025-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/) | Office for Budget Responsibility | 26 March 2025 | annual | [Open Government Licence v3.0](https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/) | | [Economic and fiscal outlook, October 2024: detailed forecast tables, expenditure](https://obr.uk/download/october-2024-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-detailed-forecast-tables-expenditure/) | Office for Budget Responsibility | 30 October 2024 | annual | [Open Government Licence v3.0](https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/) | Each source's figures are used under the licence shown. Our own words, analysis, charts and derived calculations are ours, under [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). ## Related pages - [Next in this section: Universal Credit and immigration status: the figures and what they mean](https://whereyourmoneygoes.co.uk/universal-credit-and-immigration-status/) - [What does council tax pay for, and what doesn’t it pay for?](https://whereyourmoneygoes.co.uk/what-council-tax-pays-for/) - [Is the UK tax burden the highest it has ever been?](https://whereyourmoneygoes.co.uk/the-tax-burden/) - [Why do some people lose more than half of a pay rise?](https://whereyourmoneygoes.co.uk/hidden-marginal-tax-rates/) ## More from this publisher - [UK tax calculators](https://howlongisit.co.uk) Published by [Tekstak Ltd](https://tek-stak.co.uk). Our words, analysis, charts and derived calculations: CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), credit [Tekstak Ltd](https://tek-stak.co.uk). The figures belong to the publishers listed under Sources and are used under their licences. Figures last updated 29 September 2026.